How much revenue did Paleo Pines make?

$552k–$1.5M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Paleo Pines sell?

Q: How many copies did Paleo Pines sell?

67k to 109k copies, based on its 3k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 67k–109k; $552k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.3M before Steam's cut; from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Paleo Pines and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Paleo Pines's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.7M–3.0M

best case 5.3M (DAVE THE DIVER)

Games like Paleo Pines

A typical game among these

≈ 1.7M–3.0M copies

≈ $18.3M–$30.2M after Steam's cut

from ~59k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: DAVE THE DIVER at ≈ 4.0M–6.6M copies, ≈ $22.2M–$59.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 31 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 43k.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Exploration (6 of 8) and Farming Sim (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Management + Exploration, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2019 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Core Keeper 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1.7M–2.7M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $9.3M–$24.9M after Steam's cut $16.9M–$38.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	68k reviews Very Positive	Pixel GraphicsOpen World Survival Craft
DAVE THE DIVER 2023	Est. copies ≈ 4.0M–6.6M 2.8x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $22.2M–$59.8M after Steam's cut $40.4M–$91.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	163k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Pixel GraphicsCasual
My Time at Portia 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.1M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $10.5M–$28.3M after Steam's cut $19.1M–$43.5M before Steam's cut	$29.99	44k reviews Very Positive	Life SimRPG
DragonRoad 2025	Est. copies ≈ 3k–5k too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $17k–$45k after Steam's cut $30k–$69k before Steam's cut	$19.98	122 reviews Very Positive	RoguevaniaExploration
Master Boy 2022	Est. copies ≈ 124–202 too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $34–$91 after Steam's cut $61–$140 before Steam's cut	$0.99	5 reviews 5 user reviews	CasualAdventure
My Singing Monsters 2021	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–2.0M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	50k reviews Very Positive	Creature CollectorSimulation
Beastie Bay DX 2022	Est. copies ≈ 3k–5k too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $8k–$20k after Steam's cut $14k–$31k before Steam's cut	$8.99	123 reviews Mostly Positive	RPGSimulation
Living With Dragons 2024	Est. copies ≈ 843–1k too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $3k–$8k after Steam's cut $5k–$12k before Steam's cut	$12.99	34 reviews Positive	ExplorationHack and Slash