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How many copies did Beastie Bay DX sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3k–5k
$8k–$20k after Steam's cut $14k–$31k before Steam's cut
from 123 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Beastie Bay DX and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Beastie Bay DX's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 14k–1.5M
best case 9.9M (RimWorld)
Games like Beastie Bay DX

A typical game among these

≈ 14k–1.5M copies

≈ $47k–$14.2M after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: RimWorld at ≈ 7.6M–12.3M copies, ≈ $72.7M–$195.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 153 reviews in their first month; the range was 29 to 3k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Colony Sim (8 of 8) and Building (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Colony Sim + Base-Building, priced around $35.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2018 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

RimWorld
2018
Est. copies
≈ 7.6M–12.3M
177x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$72.7M–$195.4M after Steam's cut $132.2M–$300.7M before Steam's cut
$34.99
249k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Colony SimBase-Building
Alpha Lyrae Discovery
2019
Est. copies
≈ 518–842
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut
$10.99
18 reviews
Positive
High Sea Saga DX
2023
Est. copies
≈ 13k–22k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$33k–$89k after Steam's cut $60k–$137k before Steam's cut
$8.99
541 reviews
Very Positive
SimulationPirates
Oxygen Not Included
2019
Est. copies
≈ 4.1M–6.7M
103x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$28.5M–$76.7M after Steam's cut $51.9M–$118.0M before Steam's cut
$24.99
144k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Colony SimBase-Building
Sheltered 2
2021
Est. copies
≈ 55k–90k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$303k–$814k after Steam's cut $551k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Mixed
SurvivalResource Management
Mind Over Magic
2025
Est. copies
≈ 111k–181k
3.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$765k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut
$24.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
The Wratch's Den
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$3k–$8k after Steam's cut $5k–$12k before Steam's cut
$5.99
72 reviews
Mostly Positive
StrategyBase-Building
Ninja Village
2022
Est. copies
≈ 15k–24k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$36k–$97k after Steam's cut $66k–$150k before Steam's cut
$8.99
590 reviews
Very Positive
Tactical RPGWargame

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.