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How many copies did Mind Over Magic sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 111k–181k
$765k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut
from 4k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Mind Over Magic and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Mind Over Magic's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.5M–5.5M
best case 9.9M (RimWorld)
Games like Mind Over Magic

A typical game among these

≈ 2.5M–5.5M copies

≈ $24.2M–$55.4M after Steam's cut

from ~81k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: RimWorld at ≈ 7.6M–12.3M copies, ≈ $72.7M–$195.4M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Colony Sim (6 of 8) and Survival (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Colony Sim + Base-Building, priced around $35.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

RimWorld
2018
Est. copies
≈ 7.6M–12.3M
3.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$72.7M–$195.4M after Steam's cut $132.2M–$300.7M before Steam's cut
$34.99
249k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Colony SimBase-Building
Oxygen Not Included
2019
Est. copies
≈ 4.1M–6.7M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$28.5M–$76.7M after Steam's cut $51.9M–$118.0M before Steam's cut
$24.99
144k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Colony SimBase-Building
Frostpunk
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4.2M–6.8M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$34.5M–$92.8M after Steam's cut $62.8M–$142.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
138k reviews
Very Positive
Manor Lords
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$25.3M–$68.1M after Steam's cut $46.1M–$104.8M before Steam's cut
$39.99
93k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyCity Builder
Northgard: Definitive Edition
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.1M–3.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.1M–$54.1M after Steam's cut $36.6M–$83.2M before Steam's cut
$34.99
69k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyCity Builder
Medieval Dynasty
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.5M–$33.7M after Steam's cut $22.8M–$51.8M before Steam's cut
$34.99
52k reviews
Very Positive
CraftingBuilding
They Are Billions
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.2M–$32.9M after Steam's cut $22.2M–$50.6M before Steam's cut
$29.99
52k reviews
Very Positive
Base-BuildingColony Sim
Banished
2014
Est. copies
≈ 2.4M–3.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$13.3M–$35.9M after Steam's cut $24.3M–$55.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
43k reviews
Very Positive

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