How much revenue did Alpha Lyrae Discovery make?

$2k–$4k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Alpha Lyrae Discovery sell?

Q: How many copies did Alpha Lyrae Discovery sell?

518 to 842 copies, based on its 18 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 518–842; $2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut; from 18 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Alpha Lyrae Discovery and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Alpha Lyrae Discovery's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 754k–1.5M

best case 1.9M (They Are Billions)

Games like Alpha Lyrae Discovery

A typical game among these

≈ 754k–1.5M copies

≈ $3.4M–$10.1M after Steam's cut

from ~19k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: They Are Billions at ≈ 1.5M–2.4M copies, ≈ $12.2M–$32.9M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Building (6 of 8) and Colony Sim (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Base-Building + Colony Sim, priced around $30.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Kingdom: Classic 2015	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	23k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayStrategy
Kingdoms and Castles 2017	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $6.0M–$16.0M after Steam's cut $10.8M–$24.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	32k reviews Very Positive	City Builder Colony Sim
Stronghold HD (2012) 2013	Est. copies ≈ 661k–1.1M SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.5M before Steam's cut	$5.99	10k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Real Time TacticsCity Builder
They Are Billions 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.5M–2.4M 2.7x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $12.2M–$32.9M after Steam's cut $22.2M–$50.6M before Steam's cut	$29.99	52k reviews Very Positive	Base-BuildingColony Sim
Craft The World 2014	Est. copies ≈ 961k–1.6M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $5.0M–$13.5M after Steam's cut $9.1M–$20.8M before Steam's cut	$18.99	17k reviews Very Positive	DwarfColony Sim
Stronghold Crusader HD (2012) 2013	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.2M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.7M–$9.9M after Steam's cut $6.7M–$15.2M before Steam's cut	$9.99	21k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	MilitaryCity Builder
Diplomacy is Not an Option 2024	Est. copies ≈ 315k–512k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $2.6M–$7.0M after Steam's cut $4.7M–$10.7M before Steam's cut	$29.99	13k reviews Very Positive	Real-Time with PauseResource Management
Stronghold: Definitive Edition 2023	Est. copies ≈ 258k–419k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.4M before Steam's cut	$14.99	10k reviews Very Positive	City BuilderStrategy