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How many copies did Main Assembly sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 34k–55k
$185k–$496k after Steam's cut $336k–$764k before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Main Assembly and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Main Assembly's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 13.3M–30.0M
best case 99.7M (Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege)
Games like Main Assembly

A typical game among these

≈ 13.3M–30.0M copies

≈ $98.2M–$198.5M after Steam's cut

from ~459k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege at ≈ 76.0M–123.4M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 103k reviews in their first month; the range was 40k to 469k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Co-op (6 of 8) and Open World (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with FPS + Tactical.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2026, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

ELDEN RING
2022
Est. copies
≈ 28.7M–46.6M
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$473.6M–$1273.3M after Steam's cut $861.1M–$1959.0M before Steam's cut
$59.99
1.2M reviews
Very Positive
Souls-likeOpen World
Phasmophobia
2020
Est. copies
≈ 20.9M–33.9M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$114.8M–$308.5M after Steam's cut $208.6M–$474.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
842k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorOnline Co-Op
Bloons TD 6
2018
Est. copies
≈ 12.0M–19.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$46.3M–$124.5M after Steam's cut $84.2M–$191.5M before Steam's cut
$13.99
396k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Tower DefenseStrategy
Risk of Rain 2
2020
Est. copies
≈ 8.8M–14.2M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$60.2M–$161.9M after Steam's cut $109.5M–$249.0M before Steam's cut
$24.99
353k reviews
Very Positive
Third-Person ShooterAction Roguelike
Palworld
2026
Est. copies
≈ 12.2M–19.8M
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
$100.5M–$270.1M after Steam's cut $182.7M–$415.6M before Steam's cut
$29.99
491k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldSurvival
R.E.P.O.
2025
Est. copies
≈ 10.6M–17.2M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$29.1M–$78.2M after Steam's cut $52.9M–$120.2M before Steam's cut
$9.99
427k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HorrorOnline Co-Op
Far Cry® 5
2018
Est. copies
≈ 5.8M–9.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$95.1M–$255.6M after Steam's cut $172.9M–$393.3M before Steam's cut
$59.99
190k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction-Adventure
Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege
2015
Est. copies
≈ 76.0M–123.4M
3.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1.6M reviews
Very Positive
FPSPvP

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