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How many copies did Mutazione sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 41k–66k
$224k–$602k after Steam's cut $407k–$927k before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Mutazione and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Mutazione's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5k–204k
best case 782k (Before Your Eyes)
Games like Mutazione

A typical game among these

≈ 5k–204k copies

≈ $32k–$1.1M after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Before Your Eyes at ≈ 595k–968k copies, ≈ $1.6M–$4.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 252 reviews in their first month; the range was 11 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Interactive Fiction (8 of 8) and Walking Simulator (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Emotional + Narrative, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Thirty Flights of Loving
2012
Est. copies
≈ 121k–196k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$166k–$445k after Steam's cut $301k–$685k before Steam's cut
$4.99
2k reviews
Mixed
First-PersonExperimental
Rainswept
2019
Est. copies
≈ 9k–15k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$29k–$79k after Steam's cut $54k–$122k before Steam's cut
$11.99
310 reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelDetective
Dear Esther: Landmark Edition
2017
Est. copies
≈ 261k–424k
7.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$717k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut
$9.99
8k reviews
Mostly Positive
Walking SimulatorExploration
SEMU
2023
Est. copies
≈ 446–725
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
18 reviews
Positive
AdventureInteractive Fiction
Before Your Eyes
2021
Est. copies
≈ 595k–968k
23x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.4M after Steam's cut $3.0M–$6.8M before Steam's cut
$9.99
24k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
EmotionalNarrative
Debris
2017
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$14k–$36k after Steam's cut $25k–$56k before Steam's cut
$9.99
143 reviews
Mixed
Summerland
2020
Est. copies
≈ 44k–71k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureStory Rich
A Cat & His Boy
2024
Est. copies
≈ 595–967
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$980–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$5.99
24 reviews
Positive
AdventureStory Rich

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