Sign in
wishvane

How big is SEMU?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 446–725
from 18 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid SEMU and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including SEMU's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 28k–33k
best case 171k (Left on Read)
Games like SEMU

A typical game among these

≈ 28k–33k copies

≈ $157k–$240k after Steam's cut

from ~961 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Interactive Fiction (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Left on Read at ≈ 130k–211k copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 274 reviews in their first month; the range was 112 to 1k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Interactive Fiction (4 of 8) and Platformer (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Romance + Simulation. The breakout hits carry Romance + Simulation + Choose Your Own Adventure; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2023. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Draw
2023
Est. copies
≈ 21k–34k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
849 reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RPGAction RPG
Left on Read
2020
Est. copies
≈ 130k–211k
5.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
5k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayRomance
GOODBYE WORLD
2022
Est. copies
≈ 21k–34k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$69k–$186k after Steam's cut $126k–$286k before Steam's cut
$11.99
847 reviews
Very Positive
IndieAdventure
ITORAH
2022
Est. copies
≈ 24k–39k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$131k–$352k after Steam's cut $238k–$542k before Steam's cut
$19.99
961 reviews
Mostly Positive
2D PlatformerMetroidvania
The Fermi Paradox
2021
Est. copies
≈ 25k–40k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$130k–$349k after Steam's cut $236k–$537k before Steam's cut
$18.99
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
Early AccessGod Game
Friendly Fire
2020
Est. copies
≈ 26k–42k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayIndie
祖玛少女/Zuma Girls
2022
Est. copies
≈ 17k–28k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
703 reviews
Very Positive
CasualSexual Content
Lightracer Spark
2023
Est. copies
≈ 25k–41k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$90k–$242k after Steam's cut $164k–$373k before Steam's cut
$12.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
RPGSci-fi

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.