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How big is Friendly Fire?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 26k–42k
from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Friendly Fire and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Friendly Fire's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 88k–445k
best case 3.4M (Brothers - A Tale of Two Sons)
Games like Friendly Fire

A typical game among these

≈ 88k–445k copies

≈ $546k–$2.0M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Brothers - A Tale of Two Sons at ≈ 2.6M–4.2M copies, ≈ $10.8M–$28.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Platformer (6 of 8) and 3D Platformer (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Story Rich + Emotional, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Atmospheric + Story Rich + Controller; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

A Juggler's Tale
2021
Est. copies
≈ 58k–94k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$287k–$772k after Steam's cut $522k–$1.2M before Steam's cut
$17.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
AtmosphericFantasy
Papo & Yo
2013
Est. copies
≈ 182k–295k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$750k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
3D PlatformerPuzzle-Platformer
Trine 3: The Artifacts of Power
2015
Est. copies
≈ 449k–730k
3.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.7M–$7.3M after Steam's cut $4.9M–$11.2M before Steam's cut
$21.99
9k reviews
Mixed
Puzzle-Platformer3D Platformer
Brothers - A Tale of Two Sons
2013
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.2M
14x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.8M–$28.9M after Steam's cut $19.6M–$44.5M before Steam's cut
$14.99
41k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureAtmospheric
Woolfe - The Red Hood Diaries
2015
Est. copies
≈ 76k–124k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$210k–$563k after Steam's cut $381k–$867k before Steam's cut
$9.99
2k reviews
Mixed
ActionAdventure
Castle of Illusion
2013
Est. copies
≈ 284k–461k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.8M before Steam's cut
$14.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
PlatformerAdventure
Pink Hour
2015
Est. copies
≈ 49k–80k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayIndie
DLC Quest
2013
Est. copies
≈ 394k–640k
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$324k–$870k after Steam's cut $589k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
$2.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
PlatformerIndie

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