How much revenue did Papo & Yo make?

$750k–$2.0M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Papo & Yo sell?

Q: How many copies did Papo & Yo sell?

182k to 295k copies, based on its 3k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 182k–295k; $750k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.1M before Steam's cut; from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Papo & Yo and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Papo & Yo's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 334k–655k

best case 12.4M (Human Fall Flat)

Games like Papo & Yo

A typical game among these

≈ 334k–655k copies

≈ $2.2M–$3.9M after Steam's cut

from ~14k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Human Fall Flat at ≈ 9.5M–15.4M copies, ≈ $52.0M–$139.7M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 515 to 1k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Puzzle (5 of 8) and Puzzle-Platformer (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Puzzle + Puzzle-Platformer, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Puzzle + Sandbox + Puzzle-Platformer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Human Fall Flat 2016	Est. copies ≈ 9.5M–15.4M 17x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $52.0M–$139.7M after Steam's cut $94.5M–$214.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	227k reviews Very Positive	Co-opFunny
Little Nightmares 2017	Est. copies ≈ 4.0M–6.5M 8.6x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $22.1M–$59.3M after Steam's cut $40.1M–$91.3M before Steam's cut	$19.99	117k reviews Very Positive	HorrorAtmospheric
Refunct 2015	Est. copies ≈ 852k–1.4M SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $701k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut	$2.99	17k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Parkour3D Platformer
The Last Campfire 2021	Est. copies ≈ 516k–839k 1.5x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$8.8M before Steam's cut	$14.99	21k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	PuzzleAdventure
Supraland 2019	Est. copies ≈ 446k–725k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.5M–$6.6M after Steam's cut $4.5M–$10.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	16k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Puzzle-PlatformerExploration
Biped 2020	Est. copies ≈ 287k–466k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.2M–$3.2M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.9M before Steam's cut	$14.99	12k reviews Very Positive	Character CustomizationEmotional
Pumpkin Jack 2020	Est. copies ≈ 244k–396k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.0M–$5.4M after Steam's cut $3.7M–$8.3M before Steam's cut	$29.99	10k reviews Very Positive	AdventureAction
Gravitas 2019	Est. copies ≈ 206k–334k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	7k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Free to PlayPuzzle