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How many copies did GOODBYE WORLD sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 21k–34k
$69k–$186k after Steam's cut $126k–$286k before Steam's cut
from 847 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid GOODBYE WORLD and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including GOODBYE WORLD's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 148k–527k
best case 7.2M (To the Moon)
Games like GOODBYE WORLD

A typical game among these

≈ 148k–527k copies

≈ $1.2M–$4.1M after Steam's cut

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: To the Moon at ≈ 5.5M–8.9M copies, ≈ $15.0M–$40.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 321 to 4k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (5 of 8) and Interactive Fiction (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Story Rich + Emotional, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Great Soundtrack + Indie + RPGMaker; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
≈ 44k–71k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
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Lacuna – A Sci-Fi Noir Adventure
2021
Est. copies
≈ 74k–120k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$324k–$871k after Steam's cut $589k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
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Pixel GraphicsDetective
Dear Esther: Landmark Edition
2017
Est. copies
≈ 261k–424k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$717k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut
$9.99
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Walking SimulatorExploration
Impostor Factory
2021
Est. copies
≈ 319k–519k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$877k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
13k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Story RichEmotional
Until Then
2024
Est. copies
≈ 484k–786k
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$2.7M–$7.1M after Steam's cut $4.8M–$11.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
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Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelPixel Graphics
To the Moon
2012
Est. copies
≈ 5.5M–8.9M
11x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$15.0M–$40.4M after Steam's cut $27.3M–$62.2M before Steam's cut
$9.99
87k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Story RichGreat Soundtrack
Amnesia: A Machine for Pigs
2013
Est. copies
≈ 770k–1.3M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
12k reviews
Mixed
CHUCHEL
2018
Est. copies
≈ 152k–246k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$625k–$1.7M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
CasualComedy

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