How many copies did Draw sell?

21k to 34k copies, based on its 849 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

How much revenue did Draw make?

Draw is free to play, so there is no copy-sales revenue to estimate.

How big is Draw?

Estimated players who have it: ≈ 21k–34k; from 849 reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Draw and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Draw's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–7k

best case 593k (SCARLET NEXUS)

Games like Draw

A typical game among these

≈ 2k–7k copies

≈ $14k–$18k after Steam's cut

from ~69 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: SCARLET NEXUS at ≈ 452k–734k copies, ≈ $9.9M–$26.7M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 58 reviews in their first month; the range was 21 to 5k.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Action-Adventure (6 of 8) and Action RPG (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Anime + JRPG, priced around $41. The breakout hits carry Action; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: 4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
SCARLET NEXUS 2021	Est. copies ≈ 452k–734k 264x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $9.9M–$26.7M after Steam's cut $18.1M–$41.1M before Steam's cut	$79.99	18k reviews Very Positive	AnimeAction
I Am Jesus Christ: Prologue 2022	Est. copies ≈ 30k–48k 17x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue Free	Free	1k reviews Mostly Positive	ActionAdventure
Candice DeBébé's Incredibly Trick Lifestyle 2016	Est. copies ≈ 8k–13k 2.8x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $11k–$30k after Steam's cut $20k–$46k before Steam's cut	$4.99	193 reviews Very Positive	AdventureRPG
Role Player: Full Immersion 2021	Est. copies ≈ 5k–9k 3.1x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue Free	Free	216 reviews Mostly Positive	AdventureRealistic
The Lost Legends of Redwall™: The Scout Anthology 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $9k–$24k after Steam's cut $16k–$37k before Steam's cut	$24.99	53 reviews Very Positive	LinearAction
White Bridge 2024	Est. copies ≈ 942–2k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $5k–$14k after Steam's cut $9k–$21k before Steam's cut	$19.99	38 reviews Positive	AdventureRPG
Chained in the Backrooms 2025	Est. copies ≈ 27k–44k 16x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $22k–$60k after Steam's cut $41k–$93k before Steam's cut	$2.99	1k reviews Mixed	Early AccessOnline Co-Op
Native Hunter 2025	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $8k–$23k after Steam's cut $15k–$35k before Steam's cut	$17.99	69 reviews Mostly Positive	Early AccessAdventure