How much revenue did SCARLET NEXUS make?

$9.9M–$26.7M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did SCARLET NEXUS sell?

Q: How many copies did SCARLET NEXUS sell?

452k to 734k copies, based on its 18k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 452k–734k; $9.9M–$26.7M after Steam's cut $18.1M–$41.1M before Steam's cut; from 18k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid SCARLET NEXUS and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including SCARLET NEXUS's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.1M–2.0M

best case 2.4M (CODE VEIN)

Games like SCARLET NEXUS

A typical game among these

≈ 1.1M–2.0M copies

≈ $19.8M–$34.8M after Steam's cut

from ~40k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: CODE VEIN at ≈ 1.8M–2.9M copies, ≈ $29.8M–$80.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 18k reviews in their first month; the range was 4k to 31k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Anime (7 of 8) and JRPG (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Souls-like + Anime, priced around $60.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2017 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
FINAL FANTASY XV WINDOWS EDITION 2018	Est. copies ≈ 1.8M–2.9M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $17.0M–$45.8M after Steam's cut $31.0M–$70.5M before Steam's cut	$34.99	58k reviews Very Positive	RPGOpen World
Tales of Berseria™ 2017	Est. copies ≈ 651k–1.1M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $9.0M–$24.1M after Steam's cut $16.3M–$37.0M before Steam's cut	$49.99	19k reviews Very Positive	AnimeJRPG
Tales of ARISE 2023	Est. copies ≈ 912k–1.5M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $12.5M–$33.7M after Steam's cut $22.8M–$51.9M before Steam's cut	$49.99	37k reviews Very Positive	AnimeJRPG
CODE VEIN 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.8M–2.9M 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $29.8M–$80.0M after Steam's cut $54.1M–$123.1M before Steam's cut	$59.99	63k reviews Very Positive	Souls-likeAnime
Metaphor: ReFantazio 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.7M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $20.7M–$55.7M after Steam's cut $37.7M–$85.7M before Steam's cut	$69.99	43k reviews Very Positive	RPGJRPG
Phantasy Star Online 2 New Genesis 2020	Est. copies ≈ 613k–995k SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	25k reviews Mixed	Free to PlayCharacter Customization
AI LIMIT 2025	Est. copies ≈ 921k–1.5M SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $8.9M–$23.8M after Steam's cut $16.1M–$36.6M before Steam's cut	$34.99	37k reviews Very Positive	Souls-likeFemale Protagonist
Granblue Fantasy: Relink 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1.4M–2.3M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $15.3M–$41.1M after Steam's cut $27.8M–$63.3M before Steam's cut	$39.99	56k reviews Very Positive	AnimeJRPG