How much revenue did The Fermi Paradox make?

$130k–$349k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did The Fermi Paradox sell?

Q: How many copies did The Fermi Paradox sell?

25k to 40k copies, based on its 1k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 25k–40k; $130k–$349k after Steam's cut $236k–$537k before Steam's cut; from 1k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Fermi Paradox and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Fermi Paradox's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 107k–143k

best case 1.2M (Loop Hero)

Games like The Fermi Paradox

A typical game among these

≈ 107k–143k copies

≈ $779k–$1.3M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Loop Hero at ≈ 907k–1.5M copies, ≈ $3.7M–$10.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 15k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Simulation (5 of 8) and Space (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Sandbox + Space, priced around $22. The breakout hits carry Physics + Destruction + Realistic; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2011 to 2026, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Universe Sandbox 2015	Est. copies ≈ 1.6M–2.6M 9.8x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $13.0M–$35.0M after Steam's cut $23.6M–$53.8M before Steam's cut	$29.99	32k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SandboxSpace
Star Trek: Infinite 2023	Est. copies ≈ 88k–142k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $722k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut	$29.99	4k reviews Mixed	Grand Strategy 4X
Loop Hero 2021	Est. copies ≈ 907k–1.5M 11x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.7M–$10.1M after Steam's cut $6.8M–$15.5M before Steam's cut	$14.99	37k reviews Very Positive	TacticalRogue-like
Mars Horizon 2020	Est. copies ≈ 77k–125k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $422k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $768k–$1.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	3k reviews Very Positive	ManagementSpace
Dune: Imperium 2024	Est. copies ≈ 109k–178k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $691k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut	$22.99	4k reviews Very Positive	Board GameStrategy
Solar 2 2011	Est. copies ≈ 141k–230k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $388k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $706k–$1.6M before Steam's cut	$9.99	2k reviews Very Positive	SpaceIndie
Elon Simulator - Spend Like A Trillionaire 2023	Est. copies ≈ 223–363 too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $61–$164 after Steam's cut $110–$252 before Steam's cut	$0.99	9 reviews 9 user reviews	CapitalismFPS
Ostranauts 2026	Est. copies ≈ 81k–132k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $447k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $813k–$1.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	3k reviews Mostly Positive	Early AccessTop-Down