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How many copies did WarForwards sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–3k
$4k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$18k before Steam's cut
from 56 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid WarForwards and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including WarForwards's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3k–8k
best case 28k (Ocean Keeper: Dome Survival)
Games like WarForwards

A typical game among these

≈ 3k–8k copies

≈ $2k–$24k after Steam's cut

from ~141 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Ocean Keeper: Dome Survival at ≈ 21k–35k copies, ≈ $59k–$158k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 29 reviews in their first month; the range was 20 to 573.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Top-Down Shooter (5 of 8) and Arcade (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Top-Down Shooter, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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2020
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
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Ocean Keeper: Dome Survival
2025
Est. copies
≈ 21k–35k
6.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
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$59k–$158k after Steam's cut $107k–$243k before Steam's cut
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OMICRON: Coronavirus Battlegrounds
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1.7x vs typical
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Deadfall
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Positive
ActionShooter

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