How much revenue did NIDUS make?

$14k–$39k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did NIDUS sell?

Q: How many copies did NIDUS sell?

6k to 9k copies, based on its 235 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 6k–9k; $14k–$39k after Steam's cut $26k–$60k before Steam's cut; from 235 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid NIDUS and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including NIDUS's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 72k–101k

best case 2.1M (Super Hexagon)

Games like NIDUS

A typical game among these

≈ 72k–101k copies

≈ $159k–$530k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Super Hexagon at ≈ 1.6M–2.6M copies, ≈ $1.3M–$3.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Bullet Hell (7 of 8) and Arcade (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Fast-Paced + Arcade, priced around $3. The breakout hits carry Great Soundtrack + Addictive + Fast-Paced; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2007 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Super Hexagon 2012	Est. copies ≈ 1.6M–2.6M 16x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $1.3M–$3.5M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.4M before Steam's cut	$2.99	25k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	DifficultGreat Soundtrack
PUSS! 2018	Est. copies ≈ 47k–77k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $130k–$350k after Steam's cut $237k–$539k before Steam's cut	$9.99	2k reviews Very Positive	PsychedelicDifficult
Waves 2011	Est. copies ≈ 99k–161k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue Free	Free	2k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Bullet HellShoot 'Em Up
Soundodger+ 2013	Est. copies ≈ 52k–84k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $113k–$304k after Steam's cut $206k–$468k before Steam's cut	$7.99	815 reviews Very Positive	IndieCasual
Geometry Wars: Retro Evolved 2007	Est. copies ≈ 70k–115k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $77k–$208k after Steam's cut $141k–$320k before Steam's cut	$3.99	1k reviews Very Positive	ArcadeTwin Stick Shooter
HYPER DEMON 2022	Est. copies ≈ 84k–136k 2.2x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $345k–$928k after Steam's cut $628k–$1.4M before Steam's cut	$14.99	3k reviews Very Positive	FPSArena Shooter
Beat Hazard 2 2019	Est. copies ≈ 65k–106k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $340k–$914k after Steam's cut $618k–$1.4M before Steam's cut	$18.99	2k reviews Very Positive	RhythmMusic-Based Procedural Generation
Will Glow the Wisp 2017	Est. copies ≈ 58k–94k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $31k–$85k after Steam's cut $57k–$130k before Steam's cut	$1.99	2k reviews Very Positive	Side ScrollerBullet Hell