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How many copies did Beat Hazard 2 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 65k–106k
$340k–$914k after Steam's cut $618k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Beat Hazard 2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Beat Hazard 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 14k–190k
best case 921k (AudioSurf)
Games like Beat Hazard 2

A typical game among these

≈ 14k–190k copies

≈ $90k–$1.8M after Steam's cut

from ~862 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: AudioSurf at ≈ 702k–1.1M copies, ≈ $1.9M–$5.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 30 reviews in their first month; the range was 7 to 563.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Rhythm (8 of 8) and Music-Based Procedural Generation (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Music + Rhythm, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2008 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Keysight
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$22k–$59k after Steam's cut $40k–$91k before Steam's cut
$29.99
107 reviews
Very Positive
BeautifulMusic-Based Procedural Generation
Music Killer
2019
Est. copies
≈ 13k–21k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$7k–$19k after Steam's cut $13k–$30k before Steam's cut
$1.99
453 reviews
Mostly Positive
MusicAction
1... 2... 3... KICK IT! (Drop That Beat Like an Ugly Baby)
unreleased
Est. copies
≈ 14k–23k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
562 reviews
Mostly Negative
IndieMusic
Soundfall
2022
Est. copies
≈ 29k–47k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$237k–$638k after Steam's cut $432k–$982k before Steam's cut
$29.99
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
RhythmMultiplayer
Symphony
2012
Est. copies
≈ 94k–153k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$130k–$348k after Steam's cut $236k–$536k before Steam's cut
$4.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
MusicIndie
AudioSurf
2008
Est. copies
≈ 702k–1.1M
13x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.9M–$5.2M after Steam's cut $3.5M–$8.0M before Steam's cut
$9.99
11k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MusicRhythm
SpermDash精疲力尽
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
104 reviews
Very Positive
CasualParkour
Audiosurf 2
2015
Est. copies
≈ 295k–480k
7.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.3M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$5.0M before Steam's cut
$14.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
MusicRhythm

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