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How many copies did Outbreak: Epidemic sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–4k
$7k–$18k after Steam's cut $12k–$27k before Steam's cut
from 97 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Outbreak: Epidemic and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Outbreak: Epidemic's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.8M–8.2M
best case 9.1M (Resident Evil 4)
Games like Outbreak: Epidemic

A typical game among these

≈ 4.8M–8.2M copies

≈ $54.9M–$98.5M after Steam's cut

from ~99k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Resident Evil 4 at ≈ 7.0M–11.3M copies, ≈ $76.4M–$205.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 3 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 68k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Survival Horror (7 of 8) and Third-Person Shooter (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror + Survival Horror, priced around $40.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Resident Evil 4 (2005)
2014
Est. copies
≈ 5.5M–9.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$30.4M–$81.7M after Steam's cut $55.2M–$125.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
99k reviews
Very Positive
Inventory ManagementSurvival Horror
Dead Space
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$29.2M–$78.4M after Steam's cut $53.0M–$120.7M before Steam's cut
$59.99
71k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorThird-Person Shooter
Resident Evil 4
2023
Est. copies
≈ 7.0M–11.3M
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$76.4M–$205.5M after Steam's cut $139.0M–$316.2M before Steam's cut
$39.99
280k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HorrorAction
Outbreak
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$12k–$33k after Steam's cut $22k–$51k before Steam's cut
$9.99
130 reviews
Mixed
Survival HorrorThird-Person Shooter
Customers From Hell - Game For Retail Workers (Zombie Survival Game)
2021
Est. copies
≈ 99–161
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$218–$585 after Steam's cut $396–$900 before Steam's cut
$7.99
4 reviews
4 user reviews
Bloody Moon
2023
Est. copies
≈ 50–81
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$14–$36 after Steam's cut $25–$56 before Steam's cut
$0.99
2 reviews
2 user reviews
ZombiesPost-apocalyptic
Farmageddon: Undead
2024
Est. copies
≈ 74–121
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$41–$110 after Steam's cut $74–$169 before Steam's cut
$1.99
3 reviews
3 user reviews
Outbreak SimThird-Person Shooter
Darke: Haunting Hours
2025
Est. copies
≈ 25–40
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$96–$255 after Steam's cut $175–$392 before Steam's cut
$13.99
1 reviews
1 user reviews

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