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How many copies did The Gunk sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 150k–244k
$1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.3M before Steam's cut
from 6k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Gunk and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Gunk's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 181k–1.3M
best case 4.1M (Split Fiction)
Games like The Gunk

A typical game among these

≈ 181k–1.3M copies

≈ $2.1M–$16.6M after Steam's cut

from ~15k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Split Fiction at ≈ 3.2M–5.1M copies, ≈ $43.4M–$116.6M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 283 to 63k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action-Adventure (7 of 8) and 3D Platformer (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Co-op + Female Protagonist, priced around $50.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
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SteamSpy 500k–1M
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Adventure3D Platformer
Mirror's Edge™
2009
Est. copies
≈ 2.5M–4.0M
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
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Action-AdventureParkour
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≈ 411k–668k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
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17k reviews
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ParkourFemale Protagonist
STAR WARS™: Bounty Hunter™
2024
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SteamSpy 50k–100k
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AdventureExploration
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Est. copies
≈ 38k–61k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
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The Talos Principle 2
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≈ 333k–541k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
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$2.7M–$7.4M after Steam's cut $5.0M–$11.4M before Steam's cut
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Split Fiction
2025
Est. copies
≈ 3.2M–5.1M
8.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$43.4M–$116.6M after Steam's cut $78.8M–$179.4M before Steam's cut
$49.99
127k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Co-opSplit Screen

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