How much revenue did Mirror's Edge™ Catalyst make?

$2.3M–$6.1M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Mirror's Edge™ Catalyst sell?

Q: How many copies did Mirror's Edge™ Catalyst sell?

411k to 668k copies, based on its 17k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 411k–668k; $2.3M–$6.1M after Steam's cut $4.1M–$9.3M before Steam's cut; from 17k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Mirror's Edge™ Catalyst and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Mirror's Edge™ Catalyst's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.9M–7.8M

best case 9.9M (NARAKA: BLADEPOINT)

Games like Mirror's Edge™ Catalyst

A typical game among these

≈ 1.9M–7.8M copies

≈ $13.2M–$84.8M after Steam's cut

from ~62k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is First-Person (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: NARAKA: BLADEPOINT at ≈ 7.5M–12.2M copies.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share First-Person (4 of 8) and Assassin (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Battle Royale + Martial Arts.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Rise of the Tomb Raider™ 2016	Est. copies ≈ 6.5M–10.6M 2.5x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $53.7M–$144.2M after Steam's cut $97.5M–$221.9M before Steam's cut	$29.99	156k reviews Very Positive	AdventureAction
Refunct 2015	Est. copies ≈ 852k–1.4M SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $701k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut	$2.99	17k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Parkour3D Platformer
NARAKA: BLADEPOINT 2021	Est. copies ≈ 7.5M–12.2M 4.9x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue Free	Free	303k reviews Mostly Positive	Battle RoyaleMultiplayer
Dishonored 2 2016	Est. copies ≈ 2.8M–4.5M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $23.0M–$61.8M after Steam's cut $41.8M–$95.0M before Steam's cut	$29.99	67k reviews Very Positive	StealthFirst-Person
Call of Duty®: Black Ops III 2015	Est. copies ≈ 309k–501k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $5.1M–$13.7M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.1M before Steam's cut	$59.99	6k reviews Mostly Negative	MultiplayerFPS
Assassin's Creed® Syndicate 2015	Est. copies ≈ 1.6M–2.6M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $13.4M–$35.9M after Steam's cut $24.3M–$55.3M before Steam's cut	$29.99	33k reviews Very Positive	AssassinOpen World
Assassin's Creed® Odyssey 2018	Est. copies ≈ 5.7M–9.3M 3.1x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $94.8M–$254.9M after Steam's cut $172.4M–$392.1M before Steam's cut	$59.99	189k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldRPG
Dirty Bomb® 2015	Est. copies ≈ 2.8M–4.5M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	57k reviews Very Positive	Hero ShooterFree to Play