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How many copies did LOST EGG sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 5k–9k
$5k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$19k before Steam's cut
from 190 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid LOST EGG and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including LOST EGG's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 29k–40k
best case 130k (I Am Fish)
Games like LOST EGG

A typical game among these

≈ 29k–40k copies

≈ $69k–$171k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: I Am Fish at ≈ 99k–161k copies, ≈ $544k–$1.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 334 reviews in their first month; the range was 42 to 611.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share 3D Platformer (7 of 8) and Physics (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation + 3D Platformer, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Simulation + Cartoon + Cute; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
≈ 22k–37k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$185k–$498k after Steam's cut $337k–$766k before Steam's cut
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AdventureOpen World
BETON BRUTAL
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Est. copies
≈ 32k–52k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
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$62k–$166k after Steam's cut $112k–$256k before Steam's cut
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3D PlatformerPrecision Platformer
Exertus
2019
Est. copies
≈ 9k–14k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$5k–$13k after Steam's cut $9k–$20k before Steam's cut
$1.99
307 reviews
Very Positive
PANZER BALL
2020
Est. copies
≈ 30k–49k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$41k–$111k after Steam's cut $75k–$170k before Steam's cut
$4.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
IndieParkour
The Adventures of Mr. Bobley
2015
Est. copies
≈ 19k–31k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$11k–$28k after Steam's cut $19k–$44k before Steam's cut
$1.99
394 reviews
Mixed
Puzzle-Platformer3D Platformer
I Am Fish
2021
Est. copies
≈ 99k–161k
3.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$544k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $989k–$2.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
4k reviews
Mostly Positive
AdventureSimulation
Multiplayer Platform Golf
2024
Est. copies
≈ 9k–14k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$12k–$32k after Steam's cut $22k–$50k before Steam's cut
$4.99
354 reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerGolf
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2023
Est. copies
≈ 20k–32k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$27k–$73k after Steam's cut $49k–$112k before Steam's cut
$4.99
794 reviews
Very Positive

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.