How much revenue did ARISEN - Chronicles of Var'Nagal make?

$9k–$26k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did ARISEN - Chronicles of Var'Nagal sell?

Q: How many copies did ARISEN - Chronicles of Var'Nagal sell?

2k to 4k copies, based on its 87 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 2k–4k; $9k–$26k after Steam's cut $17k–$39k before Steam's cut; from 87 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid ARISEN - Chronicles of Var'Nagal and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including ARISEN - Chronicles of Var'Nagal's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 175k–284k

best case 1.5M (Love Is All Around)

Games like ARISEN - Chronicles of Var'Nagal

A typical game among these

≈ 175k–284k copies

≈ $1.0M–$1.6M after Steam's cut

from ~6k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Love Is All Around at ≈ 1.1M–1.8M copies, ≈ $3.1M–$8.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 830 to 27k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Choices Matter (6 of 8) and Romance (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Story Rich + Choices Matter, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Singleplayer + Retro + Sexual Content; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Emily is Away 2015	Est. copies ≈ 1.6M–2.6M 5.0x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	32k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayStory Rich
Love, Money, Rock'n'Roll 2022	Est. copies ≈ 177k–288k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $487k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $886k–$2.0M before Steam's cut	$9.99	7k reviews Mostly Positive	Visual NovelAnime
Love Is All Around 2023	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M 7.1x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.1M–$8.4M after Steam's cut $5.7M–$12.9M before Steam's cut	$9.99	46k reviews Very Positive	Dating SimSexual Content
Our Life: Beginnings & Always 2020	Est. copies ≈ 342k–556k 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	14k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Visual NovelRomance
I Wani Hug that Gator! 2024	Est. copies ≈ 143k–232k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $589k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.4M before Steam's cut	$14.99	6k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Visual Novel Story Rich
Storyteller 2023	Est. copies ≈ 229k–372k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $944k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before Steam's cut	$14.99	9k reviews Very Positive	PuzzleInteractive Fiction
Left on Read 2020	Est. copies ≈ 130k–211k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	5k reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlayRomance
Stray Gods: The Roleplaying Musical 2023	Est. copies ≈ 98k–159k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $808k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.3M before Steam's cut	$29.99	4k reviews Very Positive	Interactive FictionStory Rich