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How many copies did Shing! sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 12k–20k
$66k–$177k after Steam's cut $120k–$273k before Steam's cut
from 484 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Shing! and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Shing!'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 359k–1.3M
best case 1.9M (Skul: The Hero Slayer)
Games like Shing!

A typical game among these

≈ 359k–1.3M copies

≈ $1.5M–$5.8M after Steam's cut

from ~10k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Skul: The Hero Slayer at ≈ 1.4M–2.3M copies, ≈ $7.9M–$21.2M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action Roguelike (8 of 8) and Rogue-like (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Rogue-like, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Spelunky
2013
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.7M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.3M–$11.7M after Steam's cut $7.9M–$18.0M before Steam's cut
$14.99
17k reviews
Very Positive
Dungreed
2018
Est. copies
≈ 292k–474k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$802k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikePixel Graphics
Skul: The Hero Slayer
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
5.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.9M–$21.2M after Steam's cut $14.3M–$32.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
58k reviews
Very Positive
IndieAction
Anomaly Agent
2024
Est. copies
≈ 249k–404k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$820k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.4M before Steam's cut
$11.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
Action Roguelike2D Platformer
Pixel Piracy
2014
Est. copies
≈ 412k–669k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.6M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.0M before Steam's cut
$14.99
7k reviews
Mixed
Action RoguelikeSandbox
SKYHILL
2015
Est. copies
≈ 282k–459k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$775k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut
$9.99
6k reviews
Mostly Positive
SurvivalAction Roguelike
Sundered®: Eldritch Edition
2017
Est. copies
≈ 178k–290k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$979k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
RoguevaniaMetroidvania
Lost Castle / 失落城堡
2016
Est. copies
≈ 998k–1.6M
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.7M–$7.4M after Steam's cut $5.0M–$11.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
24k reviews
Very Positive
4 Player LocalAction Roguelike

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