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How many copies did Retro Machina sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 6k–10k
$30k–$80k after Steam's cut $54k–$123k before Steam's cut
from 257 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Retro Machina and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Retro Machina's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 241k–705k
best case 3.4M (Brothers - A Tale of Two Sons)
Games like Retro Machina

A typical game among these

≈ 241k–705k copies

≈ $1.3M–$2.8M after Steam's cut

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Brothers - A Tale of Two Sons at ≈ 2.6M–4.2M copies, ≈ $10.8M–$28.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 515 reviews in their first month; the range was 195 to 8k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (8 of 8) and Emotional (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Story Rich + Emotional, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Röki
2020
Est. copies
≈ 80k–130k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$440k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $800k–$1.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
AdventurePuzzle
Have a Nice Dream
2021
Est. copies
≈ 122k–199k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
5k reviews
Very Positive
RPGPixel Graphics
We Were Here Expeditions: The FriendShip
2023
Est. copies
≈ 599k–973k
3.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$657k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.7M before Steam's cut
$3.99
24k reviews
Very Positive
The Bridge
2013
Est. copies
≈ 275k–447k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$756k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.1M before Steam's cut
$9.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerHand-drawn
Storyteller
2023
Est. copies
≈ 229k–372k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$944k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleInteractive Fiction
Brothers - A Tale of Two Sons
2013
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.2M
5.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.8M–$28.9M after Steam's cut $19.6M–$44.5M before Steam's cut
$14.99
41k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureAtmospheric
The Last Campfire
2021
Est. copies
≈ 516k–839k
2.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$8.8M before Steam's cut
$14.99
21k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleAdventure
Rakuen
2017
Est. copies
≈ 204k–332k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$841k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.5M before Steam's cut
$14.99
6k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Story RichEmotional

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