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How big is Ilysia?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 7k–12k
from 295 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Ilysia and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Ilysia's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 12.2M–25.0M
best case 27.4M (Phasmophobia)
Games like Ilysia

A typical game among these

≈ 12.2M–25.0M copies

≈ $185.0M–$202.8M after Steam's cut

from ~381k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Phasmophobia at ≈ 20.9M–33.9M copies, ≈ $114.8M–$308.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 15 reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 40k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share VR (5 of 8) and Co-op (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror + Psychological Horror, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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2 user reviews
VRSwordplay

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