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How big is The Magician's Research?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 8k–12k
from 265 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Magician's Research and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Magician's Research's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 12k–831k
best case 3.0M (Cookie Clicker)
Games like The Magician's Research

A typical game among these

≈ 12k–831k copies

≈ $2k–$1.5M after Steam's cut

from ~710 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Cookie Clicker at ≈ 2.3M–3.8M copies, ≈ $3.2M–$8.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 322 reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 12k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Idler (8 of 8) and Clicker (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Clicker + Idler, priced around $5.
When they shipped
5 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. You'd be launching into a busy stretch.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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