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How big is Tap Wizard 2?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 12k–20k
from 501 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Tap Wizard 2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Tap Wizard 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 245k–507k
best case 813k (The Ascent)
Games like Tap Wizard 2

A typical game among these

≈ 245k–507k copies

≈ $1.3M–$4.6M after Steam's cut

from ~9k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: The Ascent at ≈ 619k–1.0M copies, ≈ $5.1M–$13.7M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 15k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action RPG (5 of 8) and Top-Down Shooter (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Top-Down Shooter + Cyberpunk, priced around $30.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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2021
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≈ 619k–1.0M
2.8x vs typical
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