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How many copies did VReken sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 124–202
$852–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
from 5 reviews (5 user reviews)
Only 5 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid VReken and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including VReken's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 122k–293k
best case 643k (Streets of Rage 4)
Games like VReken

A typical game among these

≈ 122k–293k copies

≈ $819k–$4.3M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Streets of Rage 4 at ≈ 490k–797k copies, ≈ $3.4M–$9.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 538 reviews in their first month; the range was 79 to 6k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Fighting (8 of 8) and Beat 'em up (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Beat 'em up + Fighting, priced around $25.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

One Piece Burning Blood
2016
Est. copies
≈ 209k–340k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$4.3M–$11.6M after Steam's cut $7.8M–$17.8M before Steam's cut
$74.98
5k reviews
Mostly Positive
AnimeAction
The Thrill of the Fight - VR Boxing
2019
Est. copies
≈ 117k–191k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$323k–$868k after Steam's cut $587k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
4k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
VRSports
Streets of Rage 4
2020
Est. copies
≈ 490k–797k
4.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.4M–$9.1M after Steam's cut $6.1M–$13.9M before Steam's cut
$24.99
20k reviews
Very Positive
ActionBeat 'em up
Creed: Rise to Glory™
2018
Est. copies
≈ 68k–111k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$561k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.3M before Steam's cut
$29.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
VRBoxing
Dragon Fist: VR Kung Fu
2021
Est. copies
≈ 12k–20k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$68k–$183k after Steam's cut $124k–$282k before Steam's cut
$19.99
500 reviews
Very Positive
ActionFighting
Zeno Clash
2009
Est. copies
≈ 204k–332k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$562k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
ActionSurreal
GORN
2019
Est. copies
≈ 237k–385k
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.5M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
VRAction
Battletoads
2020
Est. copies
≈ 60k–97k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$327k–$880k after Steam's cut $595k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Mixed
ActionAdventure

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