How much revenue did Rauniot make?

$18k–$49k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Rauniot sell?

Q: How many copies did Rauniot sell?

4k to 7k copies, based on its 177 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 4k–7k; $18k–$49k after Steam's cut $33k–$75k before Steam's cut; from 177 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Rauniot and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Rauniot's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.3M–5.2M

best case 7.2M (Dying Light 2 Stay Human: Reloaded Edition)

Games like Rauniot

A typical game among these

≈ 2.3M–5.2M copies

≈ $31.9M–$73.7M after Steam's cut

from ~127k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Dying Light 2 Stay Human: Reloaded Edition at ≈ 5.5M–8.9M copies, ≈ $90.1M–$242.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 14k reviews in their first month; the range was 7k to 72k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Open World (5 of 8) and Co-op (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World + Co-op, priced around $60.
When they shipped: None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2022. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Remnant: From the Ashes 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.7M–2.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $18.2M–$49.1M after Steam's cut $33.2M–$75.5M before Steam's cut	$39.99	58k reviews Very Positive	Souls-likeAction
Dying Light 2 Stay Human: Reloaded Edition 2022	Est. copies ≈ 5.5M–8.9M 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $90.1M–$242.1M after Steam's cut $163.7M–$372.5M before Steam's cut	$59.99	220k reviews Mostly Positive	Open WorldCo-op
Days Gone 2021	Est. copies ≈ 2.9M–4.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $32.0M–$86.0M after Steam's cut $58.2M–$132.3M before Steam's cut	$39.99	117k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldZombies
OUTRIDERS 2021	Est. copies ≈ 1.5M–2.5M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $8.4M–$22.5M after Steam's cut $15.2M–$34.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	61k reviews Mixed	Looter ShooterRPG
Fallout 76 2020	Est. copies ≈ 3.5M–5.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $38.4M–$103.3M after Steam's cut $69.8M–$158.9M before Steam's cut	$39.99	141k reviews Mostly Positive	Open WorldMultiplayer
DOOM Eternal 2020	Est. copies ≈ 5.4M–8.8M 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $44.5M–$119.7M after Steam's cut $80.9M–$184.1M before Steam's cut	$29.99	218k reviews Very Positive	FPSAction
Metro Exodus 2020	Est. copies ≈ 3.4M–5.5M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $27.9M–$74.9M after Steam's cut $50.7M–$115.3M before Steam's cut	$29.99	136k reviews Very Positive	Post-apocalypticFPS
State of Decay 2: Juggernaut Edition 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1.7M–2.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $14.3M–$38.6M after Steam's cut $26.1M–$59.3M before Steam's cut	$29.99	70k reviews Very Positive	SurvivalOpen World