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How many copies did Natural Instincts: European Forest sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 7k–12k
$20k–$54k after Steam's cut $37k–$84k before Steam's cut
from 297 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Natural Instincts: European Forest and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Natural Instincts: European Forest's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 148k–1.0M
best case 6.0M (SPORE™)
Games like Natural Instincts: European Forest

A typical game among these

≈ 148k–1.0M copies

≈ $872k–$14.5M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: SPORE™ at ≈ 4.6M–7.5M copies, ≈ $25.3M–$68.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 554 reviews in their first month; the range was 212 to 4k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Sandbox (8 of 8) and Simulation (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with God Game + Open World, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2008 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Universe Sandbox Legacy
2011
Est. copies
≈ 188k–306k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
3k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationSandbox
Marble World
2022
Est. copies
≈ 33k–54k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$183k–$492k after Steam's cut $333k–$757k before Steam's cut
$19.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
SandboxPhysics
Universe Sandbox
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
6.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$13.0M–$35.0M after Steam's cut $23.6M–$53.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
32k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SandboxSpace
SPORE™
2008
Est. copies
≈ 4.6M–7.5M
14x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$25.3M–$68.0M after Steam's cut $46.0M–$104.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
73k reviews
Very Positive
God GameOpen World
SPORE™ Creepy & Cute Parts Pack
2008
Est. copies
≈ 139k–226k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$763k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationGod Game
Creature Crafter
2022
Est. copies
≈ 21k–34k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$46k–$124k after Steam's cut $84k–$190k before Steam's cut
$7.99
843 reviews
Very Positive
God GameOpen World
Ultimate Epic Battle Simulator 2
2023
Est. copies
≈ 186k–303k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationSandbox
SPORE™ Galactic Adventures
2009
Est. copies
≈ 492k–799k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.7M–$7.3M after Steam's cut $4.9M–$11.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationAction

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