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How many copies did Ultimate Epic Battle Simulator 2 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 186k–303k
$1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.2M before Steam's cut
from 8k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Ultimate Epic Battle Simulator 2 and predicted how it would do from its 4 similar games. Every figure here, including Ultimate Epic Battle Simulator 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 11.7M–14.8M
best case 13.1M (7 Days to Die)
Games like Ultimate Epic Battle Simulator 2

A typical game among these

≈ 11.7M–14.8M copies

≈ $164.5M–$266.0M after Steam's cut

from ~371k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 4 of the similar games are hits.

This comes from a small set of games, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: 7 Days to Die at ≈ 9.9M–16.2M copies, ≈ $123.1M–$331.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 200k reviews in their first month; the range was 182k to 327k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Open World (3 of 4) and Base-Building (2 of 4).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Zombies, priced around $45.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 1 of the 4 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Hearts of Iron IV
2016
Est. copies
≈ 15.1M–24.6M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$207.7M–$558.4M after Steam's cut $377.6M–$859.1M before Steam's cut
$49.99
363k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyWorld War II
7 Days to Die
2024
Est. copies
≈ 9.9M–16.2M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$123.1M–$331.0M after Steam's cut $223.8M–$509.2M before Steam's cut
$44.99
401k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalZombies
Mount & Blade II: Bannerlord
2022
Est. copies
≈ 7.4M–12.0M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$101.7M–$273.3M after Steam's cut $184.8M–$420.5M before Steam's cut
$49.99
298k reviews
Very Positive
MedievalStrategy
Raft
2022
Est. copies
≈ 9.4M–15.3M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$51.7M–$139.0M after Steam's cut $94.0M–$213.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
379k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalMultiplayer

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