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How big is Firing Vibes?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 794–1k
from 32 reviews (Mostly Negative)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Firing Vibes and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Firing Vibes's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 372k–528k
best case 820.1M (Counter-Strike 2)
Games like Firing Vibes

A typical game among these

≈ 372k–528k copies

≈ $540k after Steam's cut

from ~6k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Counter-Strike 2 at ≈ 624.8M–1015.3M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share FPS (5 of 8) and Building (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Looter Shooter, priced around $25.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2006 to 2019, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 36 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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ActionMultiplayer
Destiny 2
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≈ 19.1M–31.0M
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Free to PlayOpen World
Counter-Strike 2
2012
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≈ 624.8M–1015.3M
1554x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
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Very Positive
FPSShooter
Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege
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245x vs typical
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FPSPvP
Rust
2018
Est. copies
≈ 42.7M–69.3M
221x vs typical
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$469.3M–$1261.8M after Steam's cut $853.3M–$1941.3M before Steam's cut
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SurvivalCrafting
Garry's Mod
2006
Est. copies
≈ 80.0M–130.1M
199x vs typical
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$219.9M–$591.3M after Steam's cut $399.8M–$909.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
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SandboxModdable
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2014
Est. copies
≈ 356k–579k
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$2.99
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Very Positive
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