How much revenue did Reiko's Fragments make?

$7k–$18k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Reiko's Fragments sell?

Q: How many copies did Reiko's Fragments sell?

5k to 8k copies, based on its 168 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 5k–8k; $7k–$18k after Steam's cut $12k–$27k before Steam's cut; from 168 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Reiko's Fragments and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Reiko's Fragments's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 188k–1.8M

best case 27.4M (Phasmophobia)

Games like Reiko's Fragments

A typical game among these

≈ 188k–1.8M copies

≈ $1.5M–$34.8M after Steam's cut

from ~6k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Phasmophobia at ≈ 20.9M–33.9M copies, ≈ $114.8M–$308.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the range was 619 to 40k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Horror (8 of 8) and VR (8 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Horror + Psychological Horror, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Five Nights at Freddy's: Help Wanted 2 2023	Est. copies ≈ 134k–218k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.1M before Steam's cut	$39.99	5k reviews Very Positive	VRHorror
Phasmophobia 2020	Est. copies ≈ 20.9M–33.9M 134x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $114.8M–$308.5M after Steam's cut $208.6M–$474.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	842k reviews Very Positive	HorrorOnline Co-Op
SteamVR Performance Test 2016	Est. copies ≈ 220k–358k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	5k reviews Mostly Positive	VRBenchmark
Resident Evil 7 Biohazard 2017	Est. copies ≈ 4.4M–7.1M 20x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $24.1M–$64.9M after Steam's cut $43.9M–$99.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	128k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Horror Survival Horror
Containment Initiative 2017	Est. copies ≈ 18k–30k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $51k–$136k after Steam's cut $92k–$210k before Steam's cut	$9.99	536 reviews Very Positive	FPSShooter
FOREWARNED 2024	Est. copies ≈ 166k–269k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $592k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.4M before Steam's cut	$12.99	7k reviews Very Positive	HorrorOnline Co-Op
FIVE NIGHTS AT FREDDY'S: HELP WANTED 2019	Est. copies ≈ 379k–616k 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.1M–$8.4M after Steam's cut $5.7M–$12.9M before Steam's cut	$29.99	13k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	HorrorVR
Propagation VR 2020	Est. copies ≈ 146k–238k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	6k reviews Very Positive	VRAction