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How many copies did Containment Initiative sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 18k–30k
$51k–$136k after Steam's cut $92k–$210k before Steam's cut
from 536 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Containment Initiative and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Containment Initiative's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.1M–2.3M
best case 65.2M (War Thunder)
Games like Containment Initiative

A typical game among these

≈ 1.1M–2.3M copies

≈ $15.0M–$19.4M after Steam's cut

from ~33k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: War Thunder at ≈ 49.7M–80.7M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 55 to 29k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share FPS (6 of 8) and Shooter (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Naval Combat + Co-op. The breakout hits carry Free to Play; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2007 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

World of Warships
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Est. copies
≈ 5.4M–8.8M
4.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
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Free
157k reviews
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Free to PlayNaval Combat
War Thunder
2013
Est. copies
≈ 49.7M–80.7M
24x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
786k reviews
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Free to PlaySimulation
World of Tanks Blitz
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≈ 6.4M–10.4M
4.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
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153k reviews
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TanksFree to Play
Krunker
2021
Est. copies
≈ 650k–1.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
26k reviews
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ShooterFPS
POLYGON
2020
Est. copies
≈ 918k–1.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
37k reviews
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Free to PlayFPS
Call of Duty® 4: Modern Warfare® (2007)
2007
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$9.5M–$25.5M after Steam's cut $17.2M–$39.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
27k reviews
Very Positive
FPSAction
Starship Troopers: Extermination
2024
Est. copies
≈ 829k–1.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.8M–$18.4M after Steam's cut $12.4M–$28.3M before Steam's cut
$29.99
33k reviews
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Online Co-OpAction
Call of Juarez: Gunslinger
2013
Est. copies
≈ 2.8M–4.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$11.6M–$31.1M after Steam's cut $21.0M–$47.8M before Steam's cut
$14.99
44k reviews
Very Positive
WesternFPS

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