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How big is Blackjack Championship?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 44k–71k
from 2k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Blackjack Championship and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Blackjack Championship's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 264k–614k
best case 609k (NBA 2K18)
Games like Blackjack Championship

A typical game among these

≈ 264k–614k copies

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: NBA 2K18 at ≈ 464k–755k copies.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Gambling (8 of 8) and Card Game (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Sports + Basketball.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

NBA 2K18
unreleased
Est. copies
≈ 464k–755k
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
19k reviews
Mostly Negative
SportsBasketball
Poker Club
2020
Est. copies
≈ 14k–22k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$75k–$201k after Steam's cut $136k–$308k before Steam's cut
$19.99
547 reviews
Mixed
SimulationSports
Poker Night 2
2013
Est. copies
≈ 469k–762k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
7k reviews
Very Positive
Card GameComedy
Poker Night at the Inventory (2010 Original Version)
2010
Est. copies
≈ 612k–995k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
10k reviews
Very Positive
Card GameCasual
Poker Championship
2019
Est. copies
≈ 83k–135k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
3k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayIndie
Prominence Poker
2016
Est. copies
≈ 359k–584k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
9k reviews
Very Positive
Card GameFree to Play
HD Poker: Texas Hold'em
2018
Est. copies
≈ 149k–241k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
5k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayStrategy
Governor of Poker 2 - Premium Edition
unreleased
Est. copies
≈ 8k–12k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
305 reviews
Very Positive
CasualSimulation

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