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How many copies did NBA 2K18 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 464k–755k
from 19k reviews (Mostly Negative)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid NBA 2K18 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including NBA 2K18's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.4M–1.7M
best case 2.3M (NBA 2K20)
Games like NBA 2K18

A typical game among these

≈ 1.4M–1.7M copies

≈ $37.8M after Steam's cut

from ~44k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: NBA 2K20 at ≈ 1.7M–2.8M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 6k reviews in their first month; the range was 183 to 9k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Basketball (7 of 8) and Sports (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Basketball + Sports.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

NBA 2K20
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
60k reviews
Mixed
BasketballSports
I Can't Believe It's Not Gambling 2(K)
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$1.99
78 reviews
Mixed
CollectathonLoot
3dSen VR
2025
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$36k–$96k after Steam's cut $65k–$147k before Steam's cut
$24.99
209 reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessAction
NBA 2K24
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
44k reviews
Mostly Negative
SportsBasketball
NBA 2K22
2021
Est. copies
≈ 964k–1.6M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
39k reviews
Mixed
SportsBasketball
NBA 2K25
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.7M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$20.5M–$55.1M after Steam's cut $37.3M–$84.8M before Steam's cut
$69.99
43k reviews
Mixed
SportsBasketball
NBA 2K23
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
51k reviews
Mixed
Immersive SimBasketball
NBA 2K17
2016
Est. copies
≈ 365k–594k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
9k reviews
Mixed
BasketballSports

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