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How many copies did Poker Night 2 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 469k–762k
from 7k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Poker Night 2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Poker Night 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 291k–476k
best case 4.8M (Tabletop Simulator)
Games like Poker Night 2

A typical game among these

≈ 291k–476k copies

≈ $646k–$1.9M after Steam's cut

from ~9k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Tabletop Simulator at ≈ 3.6M–5.9M copies, ≈ $20.0M–$53.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Card Game (6 of 8) and Board Game (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Board Game + Card Game, priced around $13. The breakout hits carry Board Game + Multiplayer + Tabletop; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Tabletop Simulator
2015
Est. copies
≈ 3.6M–5.9M
8.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.0M–$53.8M after Steam's cut $36.4M–$82.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
75k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
TabletopBoard Game
Dicey Dungeons
2019
Est. copies
≈ 343k–558k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$5.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
Roguelike DeckbuilderCard Battler
Friends vs Friends
2023
Est. copies
≈ 369k–600k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.0M–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.2M before Steam's cut
$9.99
15k reviews
Very Positive
Card GameAction
Reigns
2016
Est. copies
≈ 338k–550k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$278k–$748k after Steam's cut $506k–$1.2M before Steam's cut
$2.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
Choices MatterMedieval
100% Orange Juice
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
3.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.3M–$8.8M after Steam's cut $5.9M–$13.5M before Steam's cut
$6.99
30k reviews
Very Positive
AnimeBoard Game
Pilgrims
2019
Est. copies
≈ 182k–296k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$350k–$942k after Steam's cut $637k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
$6.99
6k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Hand-drawnShort
Poker Night at the Inventory (2010 Original Version)
2010
Est. copies
≈ 612k–995k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
10k reviews
Very Positive
Card GameCasual
Meme Mayhem
2024
Est. copies
≈ 125k–203k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$584k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.4M before Steam's cut
$16.99
5k reviews
Mostly Positive

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