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How many copies did Reigns sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 338k–550k
$278k–$748k after Steam's cut $506k–$1.2M before Steam's cut
from 8k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Reigns and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Reigns's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 60k–818k
best case 1.2M (Against the Storm)
Games like Reigns

A typical game among these

≈ 60k–818k copies

≈ $143k–$5.7M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Against the Storm at ≈ 934k–1.5M copies, ≈ $7.7M–$20.7M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 54 to 19k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Card Game (5 of 8) and Choices Matter (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with City Builder + Simulation, priced around $30.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Loop Hero
2021
Est. copies
≈ 907k–1.5M
11x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.7M–$10.1M after Steam's cut $6.8M–$15.5M before Steam's cut
$14.99
37k reviews
Very Positive
TacticalRogue-like
Against the Storm
2023
Est. copies
≈ 934k–1.5M
12x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.7M–$20.7M after Steam's cut $14.0M–$31.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
38k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyCity Builder
Reigns: Her Majesty
2017
Est. copies
≈ 45k–73k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$37k–$100k after Steam's cut $67k–$153k before Steam's cut
$2.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
IndieLife Sim
Thronebreaker: The Witcher Tales
2018
Est. copies
≈ 528k–859k
5.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.9M–$7.8M after Steam's cut $5.3M–$12.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
17k reviews
Very Positive
RPGAdventure
Spellcaster University
2021
Est. copies
≈ 108k–175k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$742k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.1M before Steam's cut
$24.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
MagicSimulation
Choice of Life: Middle Ages
2020
Est. copies
≈ 46k–74k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$63k–$169k after Steam's cut $114k–$260k before Steam's cut
$4.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Card GameSingleplayer
Trainee Death Simulator
2024
Est. copies
≈ 50k–81k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$82k–$221k after Steam's cut $150k–$340k before Steam's cut
$5.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
IndieSimulation
Foretales
2022
Est. copies
≈ 30k–48k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$162k–$437k after Steam's cut $295k–$672k before Steam's cut
$19.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
Card GameStory Rich

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.