How much revenue did Thronebreaker: The Witcher Tales make?

$2.9M–$7.8M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Thronebreaker: The Witcher Tales sell?

Q: How many copies did Thronebreaker: The Witcher Tales sell?

528k to 859k copies, based on its 17k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 528k–859k; $2.9M–$7.8M after Steam's cut $5.3M–$12.0M before Steam's cut; from 17k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Thronebreaker: The Witcher Tales and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Thronebreaker: The Witcher Tales's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.1M–2.1M

best case 4.8M (Tabletop Simulator)

Games like Thronebreaker: The Witcher Tales

A typical game among these

≈ 1.1M–2.1M copies

≈ $10.2M–$17.4M after Steam's cut

from ~37k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Tabletop Simulator at ≈ 3.6M–5.9M copies, ≈ $20.0M–$53.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 16k reviews in their first month; the range was 5k to 19k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Card Game (5 of 8) and Simulation (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Tabletop + Board Game, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Minion Masters 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.9M–3.1M 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	65k reviews Very Positive	PvETrading Card Game
Marvel's Midnight Suns 2022	Est. copies ≈ 609k–990k SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $10.0M–$27.0M after Steam's cut $18.3M–$41.6M before Steam's cut	$59.99	25k reviews Very Positive	SuperheroTurn-Based Tactics
Yu-Gi-Oh! Duel Links 2017	Est. copies ≈ 1.5M–2.5M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	45k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayCard Game
Loop Hero 2021	Est. copies ≈ 907k–1.5M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.7M–$10.1M after Steam's cut $6.8M–$15.5M before Steam's cut	$14.99	37k reviews Very Positive	TacticalRogue-like
Against the Storm 2023	Est. copies ≈ 934k–1.5M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $7.7M–$20.7M after Steam's cut $14.0M–$31.9M before Steam's cut	$29.99	38k reviews Very Positive	StrategyCity Builder
Sultan's Game 2025	Est. copies ≈ 876k–1.4M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $6.0M–$16.2M after Steam's cut $10.9M–$24.9M before Steam's cut	$24.99	35k reviews Very Positive	RPGSimulation
Armello 2015	Est. copies ≈ 784k–1.3M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $5.4M–$14.5M after Steam's cut $9.8M–$22.3M before Steam's cut	$24.99	16k reviews Very Positive	Board GamePvP
Tabletop Simulator 2015	Est. copies ≈ 3.6M–5.9M 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $20.0M–$53.8M after Steam's cut $36.4M–$82.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	75k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	TabletopBoard Game