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How many copies did Marvel's Midnight Suns sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 609k–990k
$10.0M–$27.0M after Steam's cut $18.3M–$41.6M before Steam's cut
from 25k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Marvel's Midnight Suns and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Marvel's Midnight Suns's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 823k–2.1M
best case 3.4M (Dota Underlords)
Games like Marvel's Midnight Suns

A typical game among these

≈ 823k–2.1M copies

≈ $6.7M–$7.1M after Steam's cut

from ~34k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Card Battler (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Dota Underlords at ≈ 2.6M–4.3M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 6k reviews in their first month; the range was 4 to 17k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Card Battler (4 of 8) and Turn-Based Tactics (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Auto Battler + Tactical.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2019 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Gloomhaven
2021
Est. copies
≈ 400k–650k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.9M–$10.4M after Steam's cut $7.0M–$15.9M before Steam's cut
$34.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
Online Co-OpDark Fantasy
Monster Train
2020
Est. copies
≈ 570k–927k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.9M–$10.5M after Steam's cut $7.1M–$16.2M before Steam's cut
$24.99
23k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Card BattlerRogue-lite
Loop Hero
2021
Est. copies
≈ 907k–1.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.7M–$10.1M after Steam's cut $6.8M–$15.5M before Steam's cut
$14.99
37k reviews
Very Positive
TacticalRogue-like
觅长生
2023
Est. copies
≈ 797k–1.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.3M–$8.8M after Steam's cut $6.0M–$13.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
32k reviews
Very Positive
RPGOpen World
Dota Underlords
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.3M
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
91k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayStrategy
Minion Masters
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.1M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
65k reviews
Very Positive
PvETrading Card Game
Helmetman
2023
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$20k–$53k after Steam's cut $36k–$82k before Steam's cut
$19.99
145 reviews
Mostly Positive
Early AccessRoguelike Deckbuilder
Sentinel Point Heroes
2025
Est. copies
≈ 149–242
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$450–$1k after Steam's cut $819–$2k before Steam's cut
$10.99
6 reviews
6 user reviews
Turn-Based TacticsCard Battler

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