How much revenue did Moncage make?

$568k–$1.5M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Moncage sell?

Q: How many copies did Moncage sell?

138k to 224k copies, based on its 6k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 138k–224k; $568k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.3M before Steam's cut; from 6k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Moncage and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Moncage's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 96k–526k

best case 581k (Sanfu)

Games like Moncage

A typical game among these

≈ 96k–526k copies

≈ $487k–$2.2M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Sanfu at ≈ 443k–720k copies, ≈ $1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 611 reviews in their first month; the range was 366 to 13k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Story Rich (6 of 8) and Puzzle (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Mystery + Drama, priced around $11.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2012 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
The Dream Machine: Chapter 1 & 2 2012	Est. copies ≈ 142k–231k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $156k–$420k after Steam's cut $284k–$646k before Steam's cut	$3.99	2k reviews Very Positive	Point & ClickHand-drawn
Layers of Fear 2 (2019) 2019	Est. copies ≈ 74k–120k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $406k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $739k–$1.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	3k reviews Mostly Positive	Psychological HorrorIndie
The Cat Lady 2013	Est. copies ≈ 398k–648k 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $985k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.1M before Steam's cut	$8.99	6k reviews Very Positive	Horror Story Rich
Detention 2017	Est. copies ≈ 407k–661k 3.4x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.6M before Steam's cut	$11.99	12k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	HorrorIndie
Sanfu 2023	Est. copies ≈ 443k–720k 5.1x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.5M before Steam's cut	$10.99	18k reviews Very Positive	MysteryRPG
The Bookwalker: Thief of Tales 2023	Est. copies ≈ 71k–115k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $291k–$782k after Steam's cut $529k–$1.2M before Steam's cut	$14.99	3k reviews Very Positive	AdventureSingleplayer
Quern - Undying Thoughts 2016	Est. copies ≈ 170k–277k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.2M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.8M before Steam's cut	$24.99	4k reviews Very Positive	AdventurePuzzle
A Guidebook of Babel 2023	Est. copies ≈ 45k–73k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $185k–$496k after Steam's cut $336k–$763k before Steam's cut	$14.99	2k reviews Very Positive	AdventureStory Rich