How many copies did Familia sell?

2k to 3k copies, based on its 55 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

How much revenue did Familia make?

Familia is free to play, so there is no copy-sales revenue to estimate.

How big is Familia?

Estimated players who have it: ≈ 2k–3k; from 55 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Familia and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Familia's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 662k–871k

best case 2.9M (OMORI)

Games like Familia

A typical game among these

≈ 662k–871k copies

≈ $3.6M–$6.3M after Steam's cut

from ~16k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: OMORI at ≈ 2.2M–3.6M copies, ≈ $12.1M–$32.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Story Rich (5 of 8) and RPGMaker (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Psychological Horror + Story Rich, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Multiple Endings + Psychological Horror + Great Soundtrack; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
LISA: The Painful 2014	Est. copies ≈ 851k–1.4M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $4.7M–$12.6M after Steam's cut $8.5M–$19.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	15k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Dark HumorRPG
Finding Paradise 2017	Est. copies ≈ 702k–1.1M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.9M–$5.2M after Steam's cut $3.5M–$8.0M before Steam's cut	$9.99	20k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Story RichEmotional
Grimm's Hollow 2019	Est. copies ≈ 421k–684k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	15k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Free to PlayPixel Graphics
OMORI 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.6M 5.7x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $12.1M–$32.6M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$50.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	89k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Psychological Horror Story Rich
Tales of the Black Forest 2019	Est. copies ≈ 447k–726k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $491k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $892k–$2.0M before Steam's cut	$3.99	16k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	RPGRPGMaker
Summer Memories 2020	Est. copies ≈ 625k–1.0M 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.4M–$9.2M after Steam's cut $6.3M–$14.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	25k reviews Very Positive	Sexual ContentNudity
Eternal Senia 2015	Est. copies ≈ 589k–957k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	12k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AnimeFree to Play
CrossCode 2018	Est. copies ≈ 562k–914k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.1M–$8.3M after Steam's cut $5.6M–$12.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	18k reviews Very Positive	Action RPGPixel Graphics