How much revenue did Horizon's Gate make?

$173k–$465k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Horizon's Gate sell?

Q: How many copies did Horizon's Gate sell?

31k to 51k copies, based on its 1k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 31k–51k; $173k–$465k after Steam's cut $314k–$715k before Steam's cut; from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Horizon's Gate and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Horizon's Gate's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.0M–1.4M

best case 27.3M (The Forest)

Games like Horizon's Gate

A typical game among these

≈ 1.0M–1.4M copies

≈ $8.2M–$14.9M after Steam's cut

from ~34k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Open World (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: The Forest at ≈ 20.8M–33.7M copies, ≈ $114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 14k reviews in their first month; the range was 9k to 17k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Open World (3 of 8) and Turn-Based Combat (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Tactical RPG + Turn-Based Strategy, priced around $32. The breakout hits carry Tactical RPG + CRPG + Exploration; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Pathfinder: Wrath of the Righteous - Enhanced Edition 2021	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $6.1M–$16.3M after Steam's cut $11.0M–$25.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	44k reviews Very Positive	SingleplayerAction RPG
Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition 2017	Est. copies ≈ 7.1M–11.5M 6.0x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $87.8M–$236.1M after Steam's cut $159.6M–$363.2M before Steam's cut	$44.99	206k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Tactical RPGRPG
Warhammer 40,000: Rogue Trader 2023	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–2.0M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $16.5M–$44.4M after Steam's cut $30.0M–$68.3M before Steam's cut	$49.99	48k reviews Very Positive	Character CustomizationCinematic
觅长生 2023	Est. copies ≈ 797k–1.3M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.3M–$8.8M after Steam's cut $6.0M–$13.6M before Steam's cut	$14.99	32k reviews Very Positive	RPGOpen World
Wartales 2023	Est. copies ≈ 899k–1.5M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $8.7M–$23.3M after Steam's cut $15.7M–$35.8M before Steam's cut	$34.99	36k reviews Very Positive	RPGOpen World
The Forest 2018	Est. copies ≈ 20.8M–33.7M 20x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut $207.5M–$472.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	683k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Empires of the Undergrowth 2024	Est. copies ≈ 470k–764k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.9M–$10.4M after Steam's cut $7.1M–$16.0M before Steam's cut	$29.99	19k reviews Very Positive	StrategySimulation
Dwarf Fortress 2022	Est. copies ≈ 783k–1.3M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $6.5M–$17.4M after Steam's cut $11.7M–$26.7M before Steam's cut	$29.99	32k reviews Very Positive	DwarfColony Sim