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How many copies did Onirike sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–3k
$8k–$21k after Steam's cut $14k–$33k before Steam's cut
from 77 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Onirike and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Onirike's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 315k–608k
best case 3.3M (Mirror's Edge™)
Games like Onirike

A typical game among these

≈ 315k–608k copies

≈ $2.0M–$8.4M after Steam's cut

from ~13k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Mirror's Edge™ at ≈ 2.5M–4.0M copies, ≈ $13.7M–$36.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 708 to 9k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Exploration (6 of 8) and First-Person (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action-Adventure + Parkour, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Supraland
2019
Est. copies
≈ 446k–725k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.5M–$6.6M after Steam's cut $4.5M–$10.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
16k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerExploration
The Talos Principle 2
2023
Est. copies
≈ 333k–541k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.7M–$7.4M after Steam's cut $5.0M–$11.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
Mirror's Edge™
2009
Est. copies
≈ 2.5M–4.0M
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$13.7M–$36.8M after Steam's cut $24.9M–$56.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
39k reviews
Very Positive
Action-AdventureParkour
Viewfinder
2023
Est. copies
≈ 330k–536k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.1M after Steam's cut $4.1M–$9.4M before Steam's cut
$24.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerPuzzle
AER Memories of Old
2017
Est. copies
≈ 266k–433k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$3.0M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.5M before Steam's cut
$14.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureExploration
Indiana Jones and the Great Circle
2024
Est. copies
≈ 515k–837k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$9.9M–$26.6M after Steam's cut $18.0M–$41.0M before Steam's cut
$69.99
21k reviews
Very Positive
Action-AdventureFirst-Person
Sable
2021
Est. copies
≈ 161k–262k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$3.0M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.6M before Steam's cut
$24.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
AtmosphericExploration
Moncage
2021
Est. copies
≈ 138k–224k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$568k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.3M before Steam's cut
$14.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleCasual

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.