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How many copies did BEAR, VODKA, STALINGRAD!🐻 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 25k–40k
$27k–$72k after Steam's cut $49k–$111k before Steam's cut
from 988 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid BEAR, VODKA, STALINGRAD!🐻 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including BEAR, VODKA, STALINGRAD!🐻's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 450k–665k
best case 4.7M (Soundpad)
Games like BEAR, VODKA, STALINGRAD!🐻

A typical game among these

≈ 450k–665k copies

≈ $223k–$495k after Steam's cut

from ~11k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Anime (2 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Soundpad at ≈ 3.6M–5.9M copies, ≈ $4.9M–$13.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Anime (2 of 8) and Battle Royale (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Utilities + Audio Production, priced around $7.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2018. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 38 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Soundpad
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3.6M–5.9M
9.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$4.9M–$13.3M after Steam's cut $9.0M–$20.5M before Steam's cut
$4.99
105k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
UtilitiesAudio Production
Montaro
2016
Est. copies
≈ 506k–823k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$138k–$371k after Steam's cut $251k–$570k before Steam's cut
$0.99
12k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MemesCute
Shower With Your Dad Simulator 2015: Do You Still Shower With Your Dad
2015
Est. copies
≈ 490k–796k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$133k–$358k after Steam's cut $242k–$551k before Steam's cut
$0.99
10k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Arcade2D
Bean Battles
2018
Est. copies
≈ 308k–501k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$84k–$225k after Steam's cut $152k–$347k before Steam's cut
$0.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerAction
Genital Jousting
2018
Est. copies
≈ 343k–557k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$659k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.7M before Steam's cut
$6.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
UNO
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.0M
4.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.2M before Steam's cut
$9.99
54k reviews
Mostly Positive
Card GameMultiplayer
Sakura Clicker
2015
Est. copies
≈ 698k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
14k reviews
Very Positive
NudityFree to Play
CRSED: Cuisine Royale
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
3.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
39k reviews
Mostly Positive
Battle RoyaleFree to Play

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.