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How many copies did Astronarch sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 28k–46k
$117k–$315k after Steam's cut $213k–$485k before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Astronarch and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Astronarch's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 378k–536k
best case 2.5M (Minion Masters)
Games like Astronarch

A typical game among these

≈ 378k–536k copies

≈ $1.9M–$3.9M after Steam's cut

from ~14k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Auto Battler (2 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Minion Masters at ≈ 1.9M–3.1M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 6k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 16k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Auto Battler (2 of 8) and Roguelike Deckbuilder (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Trading Card Game + Turn-Based Tactics. The breakout hits carry PvE + Trading Card Game + Stylized; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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Minion Masters
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4.6x vs typical
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Tower DefenseMultiplayer
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