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How many copies did CATharsis sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 347–564
$285–$767 after Steam's cut $519–$1k before Steam's cut
from 14 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid CATharsis and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including CATharsis's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 211k–1.1M
best case 1.9M (NEEDY STREAMER OVERLOAD)
Games like CATharsis

A typical game among these

≈ 211k–1.1M copies

≈ $815k–$5.1M after Steam's cut

from ~16k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: NEEDY STREAMER OVERLOAD at ≈ 1.4M–2.4M copies, ≈ $6.4M–$17.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 163 to 7k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Visual Novel (8 of 8) and Anime (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Psychological Horror + Anime, priced around $16.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2022. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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2.1x vs typical
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≈ 1.4M–2.4M
3.7x vs typical
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