How much revenue did Outliver: Tribulation make?

$4k–$10k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Outliver: Tribulation sell?

Q: How many copies did Outliver: Tribulation sell?

2k to 3k copies, based on its 65 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 2k–3k; $4k–$10k after Steam's cut $6k–$15k before Steam's cut; from 65 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Outliver: Tribulation and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Outliver: Tribulation's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–3.3M

best case 22.4M (Tomb Raider Game of the Year)

Games like Outliver: Tribulation

A typical game among these

≈ 2k–3.3M copies

≈ $72k–$73.0M after Steam's cut

from ~29k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Tomb Raider Game of the Year at ≈ 17.1M–27.8M copies, ≈ $94.0M–$252.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 14 reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 26k.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Souls-like (5 of 8) and Third-Person Shooter (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Female Protagonist + Third Person, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2013 to 2026, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™ 2019	Est. copies ≈ 5.1M–8.2M 6.0x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $55.6M–$149.5M after Steam's cut $101.1M–$230.0M before Steam's cut	$39.99	176k reviews Very Positive	Action-AdventureSouls-like
Tomb Raider Game of the Year 2013	Est. copies ≈ 17.1M–27.8M 9.3x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $94.0M–$252.8M after Steam's cut $171.0M–$388.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	271k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AdventureAction
REMNANT II® 2023	Est. copies ≈ 1.7M–2.8M 2.4x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $23.5M–$63.3M after Steam's cut $42.8M–$97.4M before Steam's cut	$49.99	69k reviews Very Positive	Souls-like Co-op
Remnant: From the Ashes 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.7M–2.7M 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $18.2M–$49.1M after Steam's cut $33.2M–$75.5M before Steam's cut	$39.99	58k reviews Very Positive	Souls-likeAction
Alas Astra 2021	Est. copies ≈ 992–2k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue Free	Free	40 reviews Mostly Positive	Early AccessAction
ENTITY: THE BLACK DAY 2026	Est. copies ≈ 14k–23k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $72k–$192k after Steam's cut $130k–$296k before Steam's cut	$17.99	583 reviews Very Positive	Early AccessAction
Pinhead Adventures 2024	Est. copies ≈ 174–282 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $717–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut	$14.99	7 reviews 7 user reviews	Early AccessAdventure
Evil Awaits™ 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $7k–$18k after Steam's cut $12k–$27k before Steam's cut	$16.99	57 reviews Mostly Positive	ActionCinematic