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How many copies did ENTITY: THE BLACK DAY sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 14k–23k
$72k–$192k after Steam's cut $130k–$296k before Steam's cut
from 583 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid ENTITY: THE BLACK DAY and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including ENTITY: THE BLACK DAY's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.7M–6.4M
best case 23.2M (Half-Life 2)
Games like ENTITY: THE BLACK DAY

A typical game among these

≈ 1.7M–6.4M copies

≈ $20.7M–$55.8M after Steam's cut

from ~48k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Half-Life 2 at ≈ 17.7M–28.8M copies, ≈ $48.6M–$130.7M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Horror (5 of 8) and Survival Horror (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with FPS + Sci-fi, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2004 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

SUPERHOT
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$11.7M–$31.4M after Steam's cut $21.2M–$48.2M before Steam's cut
$24.99
41k reviews
Very Positive
ActionFPS
Atomic Heart
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$22.9M–$61.6M after Steam's cut $41.7M–$94.8M before Steam's cut
$59.99
56k reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentFPS
Half-Life 2
2004
Est. copies
≈ 17.7M–28.8M
5.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$48.6M–$130.7M after Steam's cut $88.4M–$201.1M before Steam's cut
$9.99
280k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPSAction
Resident Evil 7 Biohazard
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4.4M–7.1M
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.1M–$64.9M after Steam's cut $43.9M–$99.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
128k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Resident Evil
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.9M–$26.5M after Steam's cut $17.9M–$40.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
37k reviews
Very Positive
Survival HorrorZombies
Resident Evil 2
2019
Est. copies
≈ 6.5M–10.5M
4.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$70.9M–$190.7M after Steam's cut $129.0M–$293.4M before Steam's cut
$39.99
224k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ZombiesSurvival Horror
BONEWORKS
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.7M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.7M–$23.3M after Steam's cut $15.8M–$35.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
36k reviews
Very Positive
VRPhysics
The Evil Within 2
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.7M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$11.7M–$31.6M after Steam's cut $21.4M–$48.6M before Steam's cut
$39.99
31k reviews
Very Positive

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