How much revenue did Atomic Heart make?

$22.9M–$61.6M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Atomic Heart sell?

Q: How many copies did Atomic Heart sell?

1.4M to 2.3M copies, based on its 56k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 1.4M–2.3M; $22.9M–$61.6M after Steam's cut $41.7M–$94.8M before Steam's cut; from 56k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Atomic Heart and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Atomic Heart's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.5M–15.9M

best case 40.7M (Wallpaper Engine)

Games like Atomic Heart

A typical game among these

≈ 4.5M–15.9M copies

≈ $6.3M–$78.3M after Steam's cut

from ~141k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is First-Person (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Wallpaper Engine at ≈ 31.0M–50.3M copies, ≈ $42.5M–$114.3M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share First-Person (4 of 8) and Anime (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Mature + Utilities, priced around $5.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Wallpaper Engine 2018	Est. copies ≈ 31.0M–50.3M 7.2x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $42.5M–$114.3M after Steam's cut $77.3M–$175.9M before Steam's cut	$4.99	1.0M reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	MatureUtilities
Muse Dash 2019	Est. copies ≈ 3.5M–5.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $2.9M–$7.8M after Steam's cut $5.3M–$12.0M before Steam's cut	$2.99	122k reviews Very Positive	MusicRhythm
Buckshot Roulette 2024	Est. copies ≈ 3.1M–5.1M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $2.6M–$6.9M after Steam's cut $4.7M–$10.7M before Steam's cut	$2.99	127k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	MultiplayerDark
Resident Evil Village 2021	Est. copies ≈ 3.8M–6.2M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $42.2M–$113.5M after Steam's cut $76.8M–$174.6M before Steam's cut	$39.99	155k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Survival Horror Horror
Totally Accurate Battlegrounds 2018	Est. copies ≈ 2.7M–4.3M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	88k reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerPhysics
Soundpad 2017	Est. copies ≈ 3.6M–5.9M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $4.9M–$13.3M after Steam's cut $9.0M–$20.5M before Steam's cut	$4.99	105k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	UtilitiesAudio Production
VRChat 2017	Est. copies ≈ 9.3M–15.1M 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	269k reviews Mostly Positive	VRFree to Play
The Forest 2018	Est. copies ≈ 20.8M–33.7M 4.9x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut $207.5M–$472.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	683k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival