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How many copies did Tanuki Sunset sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 14k–23k
$57k–$154k after Steam's cut $104k–$237k before Steam's cut
from 560 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Tanuki Sunset and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Tanuki Sunset's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–3k
best case 1.1M (Riders Republic)
Games like Tanuki Sunset

A typical game among these

≈ 2k–3k copies

≈ $4k–$8k after Steam's cut

from ~61 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Riders Republic at ≈ 810k–1.3M copies, ≈ $8.9M–$24.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 44 reviews in their first month; the range was 8 to 3k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Racing (7 of 8) and Sports (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Skateboarding + Exploration, priced around $30. The breakout hits carry Exploration + Sandbox + Character Customization; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2018 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Drifting with Maxwell Cat: The Game
2023
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
128 reviews
Mixed
MemesSkateboarding
Rocket Skates VR
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$10k after Steam's cut $7k–$15k before Steam's cut
$9.99
54 reviews
Very Positive
SkateBIRD
2021
Est. copies
≈ 19k–32k
13x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$107k–$287k after Steam's cut $194k–$442k before Steam's cut
$19.99
783 reviews
Very Positive
SkateboardingExploration
Flying Sword
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3k–4k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$743–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$0.99
110 reviews
Very Positive
CasualIndie
Crayola Scoot
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
67 reviews
Mostly Positive
SportsAction
Urban Trial Tricky™ Deluxe Edition
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$7k–$19k after Steam's cut $13k–$30k before Steam's cut
$19.99
53 reviews
Mostly Positive
CasualRacing
Hoversteppers
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$8k after Steam's cut $5k–$12k before Steam's cut
$9.99
43 reviews
Positive
SkateboardingRacing
Riders Republic
2023
Est. copies
≈ 810k–1.3M
540x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$8.9M–$24.0M after Steam's cut $16.2M–$36.8M before Steam's cut
$39.99
33k reviews
Very Positive
RacingOpen World

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.